No Scientific Basis To Suggest A Third Wave Of The Corona Virus, Says A Some Virologists.

After being severely hit by the second wave of the virus, India prepares for a third wave. However, the opinions of eminent doctors, microbiologists, and virologists on the third wave are diversified. Theories claim the third wave of the virus to hit India by October this year. Some expect a resurgence in the infection sooner whereas few top virologists and experts in the field are of the view that there is no scientific basis to suggest a third wave.


Image source: The Hindu

People in a Railway station in India as the second wave comes to an end.

Dr. Randeep Guleria, chief of All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) last week told the press that India might see a surge in Covid-19 cases again in 6 to 8 weeks. He clearly stated that the third wave of coronavirus in India is inevitable.


Dr. Vijaya, virologist and retired IISC professor of Microbiology, denied the existence of any scientific and technical cause that would predict a fresh surge. He cautioned about the carelessness in people's attitude towards the decline in the cases presented.


To quote Dr. Vijaya: “There is no scientific data or any technical basis to predict a fresh surge. However, what we need to be careful about is the possibility of the receding present wave getting aggravated by people throwing caution to the wind.”

Maharashtra’s Covid task force members are also of the view that there is no evidence to support the theory of a third wave of the virus.

However, Dr. T Jacob John of Christian Medical College, Vellore presents a dissimilar yet indistinguishable point. He thinks there will be no new wave unless a new variant of the virus comes into existence. He believes the pandemic is likely to become an “endemic” by the end of July this year.


In his words, “Delta and Delta Plus variants are more or less the same with a slight variation. These variants are on the ebb.” He added, “With an effective vaccination strategy, we can even get rid of COVID-19 this year.”

Various studies, including serosurvey, have noted that most Indians have been affected by the virus. However, quite a few of them went unreported and therefore got cured by natural antibodies and immunity of the body. Combined with the widespread vaccination drives, India has all possibilities of seeing a better and controlled situation in the foreseeable future. However, it all comes down to the people and the government in authority. To overpower the expected third wave, people must avoid gathering, wearing masks, and using sanitizers under all circumstances. It is the government’s duty to be prepared with the required medical facilities, infrastructure, and personnel as the third wave was long expected and it has received ample time to do what is needed.











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